Using Trainer Patterns, Jockey-Trainer Combos, Win Percentages and Mental Discipline to Gain an Edge on the Horseracing Crowd
by Kenneth Strong
Betting horses is obviously a lot more enjoyable if you are winning - which really isn’t that difficult if you remember two things. One, you’re playing against fellow bettors, not the House, and two, racing percentages don’t lie.
Because you are playing against fellow bettors, any self discipline you can muster up will give you an immediate edge on the crowd. Using that edge along with percentages that are really not difficult to understand, will give you an edge on 90 percent of the bettors you meet at the racetrack.
Race Course Info The Place To Win System For Pc
SETTING A RACE COURSE AND RUNNING THE RACE 3/4/2009 LEAVE ENOUGH TIME TO SET A COURSE AND GET RACES STARTED. KNOW THE WIND DIRECTION. Get out in the middle of the lake (beyond PYC mark) at least 30 minutes before the start time. Watch a cotton telltale until you know the average wind direction. Be aware the wind on Lake. Top 10 Horse Racing Courses - Discover the world's biggest, best and most famous horse racing tracks, from the UK to the USA to Japan! When Placing an order with Race, we first have to determine if your home is eligible for aerial or underground installation. If your home has not been previously determined as aerial or underground, then a site survey will be scheduled to gather information about your property to help us determine access and to locate any potential obstacles. “Having the race course so close to the coast will give spectators the opportunity to follow the racing even from the shore with the spectacular backdrop of Auckland – The City of Sails! We cannot wait to get started!” MAX SIRENA Team Director & Skipper 'It’s great to back in Cowes, where the America’s Cup started. PGETDMATRANSFERINFO: The GetDmaTransferInfo routine calculates the allocation requirements for a scatter/gather DMA transfer. PGETSCATTERGATHERLIST: The GetScatterGatherList routine prepares the system for a DMA scatter/gather operation on behalf of the target device object, through either the system DMA controller or a bus-master adapter.
Losing a couple of close photo finishes in a row can wreak havoc on the average bettor’s mind, scrambling their brains and sending them off on long shot hunting tangents that result in even bigger losing streaks, crazy low percentage multiple-box bets and bridge-jumping plunges that result in more money for you if you can keep your cool. It might be boring but it works.
The techniques described below assume you have absolutely no handicapping skills at all. If you’re an average handicapper who knows the difference between a playable and an unplayable race (too many unknown factors); you should be able to benefit even further from these simple strategies.
First let’s look at some North American horse racing percentages you can take to the bank. These percentages can vary slightly for short time periods, but year-in and year-out they remain constant.
Public betting favorites win approximately 33 percent of all races and finish second 53 percent of the time. Second choices win approximately 21 percent of all races and finish second 42 percent of the time. So the top two choices win 54 percent of the races and finish second 74 percent of the time. You might even want to consider the fact that third choices win approximately 14 percent of all races run over the course of a year.
Additional percentage facts to consider are that public favorites in 6-horse fields win approximately 40 percent of the time at an average win price of just over even money, while public favorites in 12-horse fields win approximately 27 percent of their races at an average win price of almost 2-1. Basically, public favorites in larger fields win a lower percentage of the time but pay better.
The key to winning with the above percentages is being able to determine which of the top three choices actually has a real chance to win and which the public is making a mistake on. Again, assuming you have no handicapping skills, but have the ability to understand the basics of the Daily Racing Form, you can use a few additional percentages to slant the odds in your favor.
The best percentages available in the Daily Racing Form are the jockey
and trainer statistics, trainer pattern statistics and jockey-trainer combo
statistics. Jockey statistics and win percentages for the current race meeting
and for the current year are found beside the jockey’s name, which appears
on the left side of the Past Performances on top of the racing lines. Trainer
statistics and win percentages for the current meeting and current year
appear beside the trainer’s name, which appear at the center-top of the Past
Performances on top of the racing lines.
Jockeys who win at a clip of less than 10 percent are poor investments. Those that win at a clip of 10-15 percent are a little better. Jockeys who win at a clip of 15-20 percent are worth a second look, but jockeys who win at a clip of 20 percent or better can be like money in the bank in the right situation. Jockeys who win a high percentage of the races they ride in not only have their choice of the best mounts, they also generally have skill sets that are much better than their fellow riders.
The difference between a 12 percent jockey and a 24 percent jockey are not always easy to see for the average punter, but the percentages don’t lie. A 12 percent jockey usually receives less talented mounts, but there is more to it than that. Occasionally these low percentage jockeys will get the best mounts, but they almost always find a way to screw things up. They get into trouble, they can’t stop a horse from lugging in, they get left in the gate, too many little things to mention suffice it to say they have less talent and make too many mistakes on a regular basis to make them worthwhile investments over the course of the year. Can they win? Sure, but not often enough to make them part of a profitable strategy.
You’ll often find that the top percentage jockeys are on at least one of the top three public choices in a race and sometimes on all three. While a top percentage jockey often has a chance to win regardless of the odds, the horses you want to watch for them on are those among the top three public choices. You can then look at the trainer percentages and the jockey-trainer combo percentages to see if these numbers improve the odds even further in your favor.
If you see a 24 percent jockey riding one of the top three choices for a 15 percent trainer the horse probably has a decent chance, but what you’re really looking for is one of these top jockeys on a horse trained by someone with a 20 percent clip or better. These trainers win at a 20 percent clip for numerous reasons brains, talent, the ability to attract the best jockeys, medication and numerous other factors but they win consistently more races then their competition.
Partnered with a top jockey and a top-three betting choice, high percentage trainers can win at an even better rate. In contrast, a horse trained by a trainer with a 4 percent win clip would have to be considered a poor betting proposition no matter who the jockey is or what the odds are.
The next statistic to look at is the jockey-trainer combo percentage. Found in the Past Performances on the bottom right under the racing lines, this statistic tells you how many times over the course of the year and at the current meeting, that this jockey and trainer have hooked up, and what their win percentage is when working together.
The top trainer-jockey combos have excellent percentages and almost always indicate the trainer is trying their best to win. If the jockey-trainer combo win percentage is good, the third element of the percentage puzzle is complete.
The final statistics you want to look at are the basic trainer patterns found on the lower left bottom of the Past Performances underneath the racing lines. These trainer patterns are based on the horse’s current situation in this race and show percentages such as dirt to turf switches, 61-90 days off a layoff, route to sprint, etc. While only basic (you can buy much more detailed trainer pattern statistics), they still provide valuable insights into a trainer’s strengths and weaknesses, and a high percentage trainer pattern again increases the odds of winning in your favor.
So find the top three public choices on the tote board (preferably the top two) then look at the percentages. If the percentages are good all around, bet the horse to win and place. Bet twice as much to place as to win, just in case a long shot happens to beat the percentages and win which will usually result in a good enough place pay off to make you a profit.
If the percentages aren’t solid all around, don’t bet this is where the discipline to wait comes into play. Everyone wants action at the racetrack, and it can be difficult to resist a 5/2 horse with a great form and a top trainer ridden by an 18 percent jockey. But you have to wait for the perfect opportunity if you want to win long term.
If you happen to be a competent handicapper who can determine a playable race from an unplayable race (too many unknowns), and who can use class, speed, suitability to distance and surface, current form and other handicapping factors, to better identify false favorites and overlaid contenders, you can increase your profits substantially using percentages.
In summary, there are two things you absolutely must do if you want to make a profit betting horses apply the proven percentages and have the discipline to wait for the right horse in the right race.
See you at the cashier’s window!
Horse Racing betting rules: (How to bet, types of bets.)The basics
The main object of betting on horses is to beat the 'Oddsmakers' or the 'Odds Compilers' and win some money. Additionally, placing a bet on your favorite event makes the race exciting and more enjoyable.
Betting is done through Sports books or Sportsbooks (US) and Bookmakers (UK) entities that accept bets. You can bet on the outcome of horse races and several sporting events.
To place a bet, you go to a sportsbook, physical or online. You could also bet over the phone with many sportsbooks. Note that a sportsbook is not the same as an oddsmaker. The sports book simply accepts sports bets. An oddsmaker is a person who sets the betting odds.
You need to state what you are betting on by making a selection, the type of bet and the amount you are wagering. Your selection will obviously depend on the odds offered, so you will want to examine the range of odds available before you make a decision.
There are many types of bets you can place. Some sportsbooks may offer more betting varieties and combinations than others. Below is a list of the more common types of bets used in horse racing and sport events.
Straight bet or Single or Win bet. This is the simplest and most common bet. You bet on a winner at given odds. You collect only if your chosen horse is the first across the finish line.
Place. A wager for place means you collect if your selected horse finishes either first or second.
Show. The third horse across the finish line. A wager to show means you collect if your selected horse finishes either first, second or third.
Combination Bet. Combinations cover from two to four horses to win in chosen order.
Pick 3. This wager requires the player to pick the winners of three consecutive races. Some race tracks have a rolling pick 3 which is when the player must pick three races in a row and it continues for the next three races.
Pick 6. This wager requires the player to select the winner of six consecutive races prior to the first race of the pick six. Some tracks place the pick six as the first six races, the middle six races, or the last six races. Many tracks have carry over pools for the pick six that can grow to as high as a million dollars.
Quiniela or Reverse Forecast (UK). A bet placed on two horses to finish first and second in either order.
Perfecta or Exacta or Straight Forecast (UK). A bet placed on two horses but they must cross the finish line in exact chosen order.
Trifecta or Tricast or Treble Forecast (UK). A bet placed on three horses to cross the finish line in exact chosen order.
Superfecta. A bet placed on four horses to cross the finish line in exact chosen order.
Daily Double. Similar to an accumulator you select the winners of the first and second races on that day. You must place your bet before the start of the first race.
Jackpot. Pick six winners in six races to share in a Jackpot prize. The rules and prizes will vary from race track to race track.
Parlay or Accumulator. A multiple bet. A kind of 'let-it-ride' bet. Making simultaneous selections on two or more races with the intent of pressing the winnings of the first win on the bet of the following race selected, and so on. All the selections made must win for you to win the parlay. If a race is a tie, postponed or cancelled, your parlay is automatically reduced by one selection; a double parlay becomes a straight bet, a triple parlay becomes a double. A parlay bet can yield huge dividends if won.
Race Course Info The Place To Win System For Dummies
Future. A bet on a future event. At the start of each season, the sportsbooks give out odds for horses to win a certain event. The odds change as the race date approaches and in most cases get shorter, but if you win you get paid at the original odds that you took. This is possibly one of the most profitable bets if you have considerable knowledge of the race that you are betting on including the jockeys, and a good sense of judgement.
Exotic Bets. Betting on unusual events. Some sports books post odds and take bets on a wide variety of other sports related events and activities. A few others will take bets on just about anything you can think of.
Proposition Bet or Prop Bet. An offer of bets at odds and conditions chosen by the sportsbook, usually on 'Exotic' bets.
Some practical examples of betting and variations
The Daily Double: You win if you pick the winner of the first and second race. To bet you say '$2 daily double on 3 (your pick to win in the first race) and 5 (your pick to win in the second race)'. Your bet must be placed before the start of the first race.
Quiniela: You win if you pick two horses that finish first and second, in either order, in any single race. To bet you say '$2 quiniela, numbers 5 and 6'. If the results of the first two horses are either 5-6 or 6-5, you win.
Quiniela Box: Pick three or more horses. You win if any two of your selections finish first and second. To bet you say '$2 quiniela box on 4,5 and 6'. You are making three separate bets so your minimum bet is $6. If they finish 4-5, 4-6, 6-4, 6-5, 5-4 or 5-6, you win. You can box as few as three or as many as the field.
Perfecta: The Perfecta is similar to the Quiniela, except the two horses must finish in the exact order. To bet you say ' $3 Perfecta, 5-6.' Only if the horses finish 5-6 you win.
Straight Trifecta: Pick the first three horses to cross the finish line in exact order. To bet you say '$2 trifecta numbers 7,4 and 5.' Only if they finish 7-4-5 you win.
$1Trifecta Box: Pick three horses to finish first, second and third, in any order. To bet you say '$1 trifecta box 2,3 and 5.' You are actually making six $1 bets, so your total bet is $6. If they finish 2-3-5, 2-5-3, 3-2-5, 3-5-2, 5-2-3 or 5-3-2, you win.
$1Trifecta Key: Pick your favorite horse to win, then two or more others to place and show in any order. To bet you say '$1 trifecta key on 1 with 2 and 3.' You are actually making two $1 bets so your total bet is $2. To win your Key horse must win and the other two must finish either 1-2-3 or 1-3-2.
UK bets
Each Waybets:
- 2-4 runners; no place betting allowed
- 5-7 runners; 1st and 2nd one quarter the odds
- 8+ runners; 1st, 2nd and 3rd one fifth odds
- Handicaps 12-15 runners; 1st, 2nd and 3rd one quarter odds
- Handicaps 16+ runners; 1st, 2nd, 3rd and 4th one quarter odds
Patent: three selections combined for seven bets (one treble, three doubles and three singles).
Yankee: made up of four selections combined into eleven bets (four trebles, six doubles and a four-horse accumulator).
Super-Yankee: as above, but five selections combined into a total of 26 bets (ten trebles, ten doubles, five four-horse accumulators and a five-timer).
Note: Different countries and different race tracks may have different rules, use different terms for how to bet and also for the types of bets. If unsure, ask the sportsbook or bookmaker when placing a bet.
Thoroughbred and Purebred terminology distinction(Courtesy WTBA)
Thoroughbred: A Thoroughbred is a horse which satisfies the rules and requirements set forth and is registered in The American Stud Book or a foreign stud book recognized by The Jockey Club and the International Stud Book Committee. A breed of horses noted for their racing ability.
Purebred: Any animal descended from a line of ancestors of the same breed. Not necessarily registered.
Note: A Thoroughbred is a purebred but a purebred is not necessarily a Thoroughbred.
Breeding and Pedigree prefix and suffix: * () =
A star/asterisk * or a parenthesis ( ) as an addition to a horse’s name (before and after the horse's name, respectively) indicate that that horse has been imported. Before the late 1970s a star (*) before a horse’s name indicated that the horse was imported from a country outside of North America. A parenthesis with a country’s abbreviation; for example, (IRE)=Ireland, (FR)=France, (CHI)=Chile, (NZ)=New Zealand; after a horse’s name indicates what country the horse was foaled in and what stud book they are registered with. An = (equal sign) in front of a horse’s name means that the horse is foreign-bred but has not been imported.
Great gambling information site
Use the 'Main Menu' on the right margin to explore this site. This is a comprehensive online gambling information site with advice on winning, how to gamble, betting strategies, world casinos directory, the best online casinos, and lots of gamblers information and resources.
Topics covered include game rules, how to play, how to win, winning strategy, betting systems, gambling tips, on: Blackjack, Roulette, Poker classic and variants, Craps, Slots and Videopoker, Baccarat, Keno, Lotto/Lottery, Powerball, Bingo, Sports betting, Horse racing and Greyhound racing.
Horse Racing * Rules . Glossary . Tips|Strategy . Books . Links|Extras . Wagers . Race tracks|Race programs . Race results|Live broadcasts . Sportsbooks|